Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Weak supercells possible tommorow across Serbia

Some marginal CAPE buildup on March 17th (up to 500 J/kg MUCAPE is forecast) in front of the cold front with the surface low somewhere above N-Austria. Potential for rotating storms exists in the central and eastern Serbia where SREH3 gets up to about 200 m2/s2. DLS is about 20 m/s. Main threat will be hail. CIN will be low so the storms will fire up fairly quickly. I usually wouldn't care for this type of setup, but in the early spring (late winter) every semi-severe convective weather is a welcome change.




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