Showing posts with label MUCAPE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MUCAPE. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Weak supercells possible tommorow across Serbia

Some marginal CAPE buildup on March 17th (up to 500 J/kg MUCAPE is forecast) in front of the cold front with the surface low somewhere above N-Austria. Potential for rotating storms exists in the central and eastern Serbia where SREH3 gets up to about 200 m2/s2. DLS is about 20 m/s. Main threat will be hail. CIN will be low so the storms will fire up fairly quickly. I usually wouldn't care for this type of setup, but in the early spring (late winter) every semi-severe convective weather is a welcome change.