Huge anticyclonic system is currently in place and will dominate the weather in central Europe in the next 1-2 weeks. There will some scattered instability (not larger than 500-600 J/kg) but due to non-existent wind shear no severe weather will happen. Very stable weather is expected, in fact, looking at the picture lower, I have not yet seen this kind of agreeing between different GFS ensemble runs. Usually, they are all over the place. This time, even 14 days ahead, all ensembles are relatively closely together. Plan a picnic because no storm chasing is going to happen this week (and probably the next one). Well, it's April, what do you expect?
Sea temperature in the Mediterranean sea are still rather low and haven't warmed up significantly in the last weeks, still in the 15°C range.
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